Video: The Eschatian Hypothesis

Credit: Image by Jazella from Pixabay

I recommend you check out the latest Cool Worlds Labs video for an intriguing new theory about mankind’s contact with an alien civilization. British astronomer and associate professor at Columbia University David Kipping narrates this new idea, called the Eschatian Hypothesis, in his latest video titled “Our First Contact with Aliens Will Be Their Last Words.”

He discusses how the early detection of hot Jupiters dominated the early discussion about exoplanets, even though we later learned that they are found around less than 1 percent of stars with exoplanets. He attributes this to detection bias, or Malmquist bias, because they were so easy to detect. The same applies to stars in their giant phase, which represents only 1 percent of all stars but about 1/3 of the stars we can see with the naked eye.

In this sense, the first contact with an alien civilization will probably follow this pattern as well. Hence, an alien civilization in disequilibrium will become louder and thereby more detectable by us. At the same time, the more advanced civilizations in balance with nature will be harder to detect.

As a result, the Eschatian Hypothesis contends that the more detectable alien civilizations will be the less stable ones. This is certainly a unique twist on the Fermi principle.

View the video for the full story.