Space Quote: Can China Win the Lunar Race This Time?

Image (Credit): Image of Apollo 17 astronaut Eugene Cernan on the Moon’s surface. (NASA)

“As the U.S. has flailed, China and its partners have marched forward, notching one success after another. There is no reason to believe they will not be first to send a crewed mission to the lunar south pole, where only a half dozen or so promising regions exist to safely land. Depending on how the currently vague noninterference rules are interpreted and enforced by the Chinese (and others), significant parts of the moon might end up off-limits for anyone else to explore or mine. We do not know for certain how China might behave on the lunar surface—this is part of the conundrum—but terrestrial conflicts in the South China Sea and China’s regular infractions of sovereign airspace give scant rationale for optimism.”

-Quote from an article in Scientific American titled “NASA Needs a ‘Lunar Marathon’ to Match China on the Moon.” The author of the piece is Thomas Zurbuchen, who previously worked at NASA and is now is professor and director of the Swiss Federal Institute of Technology’s ETH Zürich | Space. For another take on where the US is with its Artemis lunar program, you can read an ARS Technica article titled “The Politically Incorrect Guide to Saving NASA’s Floundering Artemis Program.”

Starship Stories: We Have Heard This Before

Image (Credit): The Starship rocket launching on its fourth flight test in Boca Chica, TX. (SpaceX)

The other week, Elon Musk said he was planning to send five uncrewed Starship rockets to Mars in two years, followed by manned flights after that. Why the sudden announcement? It was not clear, but he does have money to burn and also a desire for attention.

In his Twitter/X posting, he said:

SpaceX plans to launch about five uncrewed Starships to Mars in two years.

If those all land safely, then crewed missions are possible in four years. If we encounter challenges, then the crewed missions will be postponed another two years.

Of course, he has yet to prove that the Starship is ready for assist NASA with the Artemis mission to place astronauts on the Moon. The rocket is getting better with every test, but the Starship problems are likely to delay the entire lunar mission. Yet he is already eyeing Mars?

If you read the full post, it appears he is using the Starship announcement to poke at California and Kamala Harris. He also seems to be ready to blame everyone but himself if he cannot meet his self-imposed Mars timetable.

One might ask if Mr. Musk has any idea where his Starship astronauts will be staying under this timetable. I have not heard of any great plans to build the necessary infrastructure to host a colony on the surface of Mars. Does he have a plan?

Mr. Musk had enormous problems meeting his proposed deadline for a Tesla pickup truck here on Earth, and the truck he eventually rolled out has has been less than a stellar vehicle given the hype. So any timetable on a Mars mission seems like mere fantasy at this point.

By the way, if Mr. Musk is so interested in protecting Earthlings from a dangerous future, he already has the ability to tamp down the rage and hate on Twitter/X and cease his calls for civil wars.

It is already in his power to make the Earth a better place to live while we plan for Mars. He just doesn’t seem to be all that interested.

NASA’s Crew-9 Mission on its Way to the ISS

Image (Credit): The launch earlier today of a SpaceX Falcon 9 rocket carrying tNASA’s SpaceX Crew-9 mission to the ISS. (NASA/Keegan Barber)

Earlier today, NASA contractor SpaceX successfully launched the Crew-9 mission towards the International Space Station aboard a Falcon 9 rocket. The two crew members should be aboard the station tomorrow to join the rest of the Expedition 72 crew, who arrived at the station as part of two earlier launches.

While some are calling this a “rescue mission,” it is really a planned mission with a truncated crew roster to accommodate the two Boeing Starliner astronauts on the return back to Earth. Nothing to see here folks.

NASA Administrator Bill Nelson said it best:

This mission required a lot of operational and planning flexibility. I congratulate the entire team on a successful launch today, and godspeed to Nick and Aleksandr as they make their way to the space station…Our NASA wizards and our commercial and international partners have shown once again the success that comes from working together and adapting to changing circumstances without sacrificing the safe and professional operations of the International Space Station.

NASA has become quite flexible this year as it works with its commercial partners.

Audit Report: Keeping the ISS Afloat is Getting Harder Every Day

NASA’s Office of Inspect General (OIG) issued an audit report this week, NASA’s Management of Risks to Sustaining ISS Operations through 2030 (IG-24-020), that highlighted the ongoing issues NASA faces to keep the International Space Station (ISS) in orbit as well as plan its decommissioning.

The OIG auditors specifically noted concerns regarding (1) repairing and maintaining the integrity of the station, (2) too little redundancy in the commercial partners carrying crews and supplies to the station, (3) continued risk of micro meteoroids and debris damaging the station, (4) lack of ready-to-use capsules to escape the station in an emergency, and (5) lack of Russian commitment to de-orbiting the station at the end of its life.

That’s a long list of concerns, none of which are surprising given the complexity of the space station and the ongoing environmental issue, be it commercial partners, exterior space, or Russian commitment. It is amazing that the station has had so few major issues to date.

These issues need to be resolved for the current station and be considered as part of any new stations (government-run or commercial), whether they are orbiting the Earth, the Moon, or even Mars.